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U.Okay. Officers’ New Trump Quandary: What if He Loses?

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Former Vice President Joe Biden, the Democratic Party's presumptive presidential nominee, speaks during a news conference in Lancaster, Pa., June 25, 2020. (Hannah Yoon/The New York Times)
Former Vice President Joe Biden, the Democratic Celebration’s presumptive presidential nominee, speaks throughout a information convention in Lancaster, Pa., June 25, 2020. (Hannah Yoon/The New York Instances)

LONDON — Queen Elizabeth II threw him an extravagant state banquet at Buckingham Palace. Former Prime Minister Theresa Could welcomed him to Blenheim Palace, the household seat of his hero, Winston Churchill. Her successor, Boris Johnson, refused to affix a worldwide refrain of criticism after he ordered troops to interrupt up a Black Lives Matter protest outdoors the White Home.

Few international locations have labored tougher than Britain to please President Donald Trump. However now, with Trump trailing within the polls to former Vice President Joe Biden, British officers are waking as much as an unsettling prospect: The president they tried so onerous to accommodate could also be out of energy subsequent yr.

In Paris and Berlin, a Trump defeat can be welcomed as an unalloyed aid, eradicating a pacesetter who has sundered alliances, threatened a commerce struggle and tried to dismantle the European challenge. However in London, the place Johnson’s authorities simply left the European Union, it’s extra difficult.

At a second of British isolation, Trump’s full-throated endorsement of Brexit has made america a secure harbor. His promise of a profitable commerce deal gave Johnson a promoting level together with his voters. His populist politics had been in sync with the bare-knuckle techniques of the Brexiteers.

If Biden wins in November, Britain would face a president who opposed Brexit, would look out for the pursuits of Eire in a post-Brexit Europe and would have little motive to prioritize an Anglo American commerce deal. His former boss, President Barack Obama, as soon as warned Britons that in the event that they left the European Union, they might put themselves on the “again of the queue” in any commerce talks with america.

“It is not going to be misplaced on Biden that the final two British prime ministers went out of their technique to be good to and about Trump,” mentioned Peter Westmacott, a former British ambassador to america. “He’s instinctively comfy with Brits, however London should work on the connection.”

As Trump’s polling numbers have eroded, pro-government papers have begun to make the case {that a} President Biden would truly be higher for Britain than President Trump. Not like Trump, he’s a believer in alliances. He wouldn’t topic Johnson to impolite lectures concerning the want for Britain to take a tougher line in opposition to China. He wouldn’t be poisonous with a lot of the British public.

In a current column in The Sunday Instances, a well-connected political journalist, Tim Shipman, quoted an unnamed authorities minister saying {that a} Trump defeat “would make issues a lot simpler.”

That appears like a authorities hedging its bets. Johnson has been cautious to say nothing concerning the U.S. election however he has already tried to maintain Trump at arm’s size at the same time as he avoids offending him. Trump, in contrast, referred to as right into a London radio present within the warmth of the British election to reward Johnson and run down his opponent.

Britain’s uneasiness is compounded by the strangeness of this election. The Biden marketing campaign has all however banned contact with international governments to keep away from the questions that dogged the Trump marketing campaign in 2016 about its ties to Russia. The pandemic has disadvantaged Britain of its lengthy follow of embedding a diplomat within the challenger’s marketing campaign as a result of there’s little in-person campaigning.

Jonathan Powell, who as a younger British diplomat rode on the bus throughout Invoice Clinton’s 1992 marketing campaign, mentioned the connections he made had been priceless in smoothing over bitterness Clinton’s aides felt towards Britain’s Conservative authorities after it had tried to dig up incriminating particulars about Clinton’s years at Oxford to assist George H.W. Bush’s marketing campaign. Powell later launched Clinton to Tony Blair, who went on to turn into prime minister and a friendlier counterpart.

Driving the bus is much less vital this time, he mentioned, provided that Biden is already so well-known to British officers. However the lack of a private connection might foretell a relationship that’s destined to turn into extra distant.

The chance for Britain, a number of consultants mentioned, will not be a sudden rupture however a gradual slide into irrelevance. Biden’s emphasis, they mentioned, can be on mending fences with Berlin and Paris, not celebrating a “particular relationship” with London that bought loads of consideration from his predecessor.

On a go to to London in October 2018, Biden, not but a candidate, solid his opposition to Brexit in geopolitical phrases, saying it might make Britain much less priceless to america as a lever to affect the European Union.

“Had I been a member of Parliament, had I been a British citizen, I’d have voted in opposition to leaving,” Biden mentioned at Chatham Home, the London analysis establishment. “U.S. pursuits,” he added, “are diminished with Nice Britain not an integral a part of Europe.”

Charles Kupchan, a professor at Georgetown College who labored on European affairs within the Obama White Home and is advising Biden’s marketing campaign, mentioned, “The query will not be, ‘Will there be a particular relationship?’ There shall be. The query is, ‘Will the particular relationship matter?’”

British officers acknowledge the problem. They cite human rights and Russia as areas the place Britain may carve out a strong function alongside america. Johnson’s current reversal, barring Chinese language telecommunications big Huawei from entry to its 5G community, brings Britain according to a extra hawkish American coverage towards China, which is more likely to lengthen past Trump’s presidency.

He might have to patch up different lingering points. In 2016, when Johnson was mayor of London, he recounted in a newspaper column that Obama changed a bust of Churchill within the Oval Workplace with one in every of Martin Luther King Jr. and attributed the change to “the part-Kenyan president’s ancestral dislike of the British Empire.”

Some say fears of pressure between Johnson and Biden are overblown.

“It’s a part of the job for American presidents to get together with prime ministers,” mentioned Tom Tugendhat, a Conservative member of Parliament who’s chairman of the Overseas Affairs Committee and has spoken with advisers to Biden.

Nonetheless, there are potential land mines, not least Northern Eire. A loyal Irish American, Biden will fiercely defend Eire’s pursuits, as will his allies within the Democratic Celebration’s Irish foyer on Capitol Hill. In speeches, Biden’s go-to literary reference is from “Easter 1916,” a poem by Irish poet William Butler Yeats concerning the Irish rebellion in opposition to British rule.

British diplomats gamely level out that Biden has English roots, too. He has talked of a great-great-great grandfather who was a captain within the British East India Buying and selling Co. However they are saying that so far as Brexit goes, his major concern is more likely to be the preservation of the Good Friday Settlement, the Clinton-era accord that ended many years of sectarian strife in Northern Eire.

“Biden may be very eager on his Irish Catholic roots, although he has British ones, too,” Westmacott mentioned. “If the U.Okay. finally ends up with a no deal or different Brexit consequence which is unhealthy information for Eire, he is not going to be impressed.”

Thus far, Johnson has averted that downside by putting a withdrawal settlement with the European Union that leaves an open border on the island of Eire. However Eire may nonetheless undergo financial harm if Britain fails to barter everlasting buying and selling preparations with Brussels.

Commerce is one other space the place Biden may show irritating. Trump’s promise of a blockbuster take care of Britain had already begun to fade, together with his commerce consultant, Robert Lighthizer, saying final month it was unlikely earlier than the election. Had been Biden to win, consultants mentioned, he would face a Democratic Celebration deeply skeptical of a deal at a time when free commerce is in retreat worldwide.

British officers lately floated the concept of each international locations becoming a member of the successor settlement to the Trans-Pacific Partnership, which Trump pulled out of in 2017, as a technique to sidestep the thorny points in a direct negotiation.

However even when Biden had been to rejoin TPP — an enormous if — analysts famous that its provisions on meals sanitation had been largely written by america and would elevate the identical objections which have stymied trans-Atlantic talks.

“In different phrases,” mentioned Sam Lowe, a commerce skilled on the Heart for European Reform, “the chlorine rooster debate is right here to remain.”

This text initially appeared in The New York Times.

© 2020 The New York Instances Firm

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Son of Angola’s ex-leader jailed for 5 years

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José Filomeno dos Santos, also known as Zenu, was head of Angola's Sovereign Wealth Fund from 2013 to 2018
José Filomeno dos Santos, also referred to as Zenu, was head of Angola’s Sovereign Wealth Fund from 2013 to 2018

The son of Angola’s former president has been jailed for 5 years for fraud from when he was head of the oil-rich nation’s Sovereign Wealth Fund.

José Filomeno dos Santos, 42, was accused of making an attempt to embezzle as much as $1.5bn (£1.1bn) whereas overseeing the $5bn fund from 2013 to 2018.

He was charged with stealing $500m from the fund and transferring it to a checking account in Switzerland.

Dos Santos’ father, José Eduardo dos Santos, led the nation for 38 years.

José Eduardo dos Santos was president from 1979 till he resigned in 2017, to get replaced by the person he had handpicked for the job, his former defence minister Joao Lourenço.

José Filomeno dos Santos, also referred to as Zenu, spent seven months in jail over the corruption allegations earlier than being freed in March.

He was the primary member of the previous presidential household to be prosecuted as a part of an anti-corruption marketing campaign led by President Lourenço.

It was broadly seen as a take a look at of Angola’s dedication to combating corruption.

The case is part of an anti-corruption campaign led by President Joao Lourenço
The case is a part of an anti-corruption marketing campaign led by President Joao Lourenço

Sentencing Dos Santos on the nation’s Supreme Court docket, Justice Joao da Cruz Pitra mentioned: “For the crime of fraud… and for the crime of peddling affect… the authorized cumulus condemns him to a single sentence of 5 years in jail.”

Three co-defendants had been additionally accused of fraud, embezzlement and affect peddling – together with the previous governor of the nationwide financial institution of Angola (BNA) Valter Filipe da Silva.

They had been every sentenced to between 4 and 6 years in jail.

All 4 defendants had been acquitted of cash laundering fees. They beforehand denied any wrongdoing.

President Lourenço fired one other of his predecessor’s youngsters, Isabel dos Santos, believed to be Africa’s richest lady, from her place as head of the state oil big Sonango in November 2017 over alleged embezzlement.

Ms Dos Santos denies any wrongdoing. She now lives overseas after saying that her life had been threatened.

The previous president can also be believed to have left the nation.

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UK coronavirus dwell: France may quarantine British travellers in retaliation over new guidelines | World information

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Massive swathes of northern England and Leicester will stay beneath tighter lockdown for a 3rd week as coronavirus an infection charges proceed to climb sharply in some districts, the Division of Well being and Social Care (DHSC) has introduced.

The choice was taken by Matt Hancock, the well being secretary, in collaboration with native leaders after circumstances did not drop sufficiently.

The measures – initially introduced in with just a few hours’ discover on 31 July – will “assist defend native residents, and permit extra time for the adjustments to have an impact, chopping transmission amongst households”, the DHSC stated.

The restrictions proceed to have an effect on residents in Higher Manchester; Calderdale, Kirklees and Bradford in West Yorkshire; Leicester; and the next areas of east Lancashire: Blackburn with Darwen, Burnley, Hyndburn, Pendle, Preston and Rossendale.

Casinos, skating rinks, bowling alleys, exhibition halls, convention centres and indoor play areas is not going to be permitted to open in these areas. Elsewhere in England they’ll open from Saturday.

Individuals within the affected areas is not going to be permitted to combine with different households (other than these of their assist bubble) inside non-public properties or gardens. They’ll nonetheless capable of meet others in teams of as much as six people, or two households, in out of doors public locations.

Swimming pools, indoor gyms and different leisure amenities in addition to nail bars, spas and wonder salons will proceed to stay closed in Bradford, Blackburn with Darwen, and Leicester.

Shielding can even proceed for people in Blackburn with Darwen, and Leicester.

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Palestinians warn Israel-UAE deal imperils Jerusalem’s Al-Aqsa mosque

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* Palestinians see Al-Aqsa as pinnacle of future state

* Worshippers slam UAE leaders over take care of Israel

* Fear deal might threaten their entry to sacred website

* Burn effigies of Trump, Netanyahu, Abu Dhabi crown prince

By Rami Ayyub

JERUSALEM, Aug 14 (Reuters) – Indignant Palestinians in Jerusalem accused the United Arab Emirates of collaborating with Israel and endangering Al-Aqsa mosque – Islam’s third-holiest website – as they gathered for Friday prayers the day after the Gulf state’s take care of Israel.

Below an settlement brokered by U.S. President Donald Trump, Israel and the UAE introduced on Thursday that they are going to normalise diplomatic ties, introduced collectively by a confluence of pursuits in opposition to Iran.

The deal additionally envisions giving Muslims better entry to Jerusalem’s Al-Aqsa mosque by permitting them to straight fly from Abu Dhabi to Tel Aviv’s Ben Gurion Airport.

This was greeted with dismay by Palestinian worshippers submitting into the tree-lined hilltop compound in Jerusalem’s walled Previous Metropolis recognized to Muslims as al-Haram al-Sharif (Noble Sanctuary) and to Jews because the Temple Mount.

“Our brothers within the Emirates put our blessed mosque within the grip of dying,” stated Kamal Attoun, 60, an East Jerusalem Palestinian and Previous Metropolis service provider.

Requested if he would welcome Muslims from the Emirates or the Gulf below such circumstances, Attoun stated: “You have seen how collaborators from Saudi Arabia have been acquired up to now. The identical destiny awaits the Emiratis.”

He was referring to a pro-Israel Saudi web influencer who was reportedly taunted as he walked by means of the Previous Metropolis compound final yr.

Palestinians have lengthy sought East Jerusalem, the place the Previous Metropolis is situated, as capital of a future state and have appeared to Arab nations to defend that stance. In the event that they normalise ties with Israel, Palestinians concern shedding any probability of future sovereignty within the metropolis and assured entry to Al Aqsa mosque.

Mohammad al-Sharif, 45, a member of Israel’s Arab minority, stated he wouldn’t maintain it in opposition to peculiar Muslims from the Gulf “as a result of their rulers made a mistake”.

However he was scathing about their leaders.

“Collaboration with the UAE is worse, 100 instances worse than collaborating with Israel. That Sheikh Mohammed bin Zayed and his soiled canines look out for themselves and their pursuits and the remainder of us can go to hell,” he stated, referring to Abu Dhabi’s crown prince.

The highest Islamic official in Jerusalem, Sheikh Abdul-Azim Salhab of the Islamic Waqf, advised Reuters he does “not settle for the blessed Al-Aqsa mosque to be the topic of political bickering. It’s larger than this tug-of-war.”

Condemnation additionally got here from Palestinian President Mahmoud Abbas, whose spokesman on Thursday learn out a press release from the management on Palestinian tv calling the deal a “betrayal of Jerusalem, Al-Aqsa and the Palestinian trigger”.

Palestinians throughout Gaza and the occupied West Financial institution rallied on Friday in opposition to the deal. Protesters within the metropolis of Nablus burned effigies of Trump, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and Abu Dhabi Crown Prince Sheikh Mohammed bin Zayed.

ISRAELIS DELIGHTED

In the meantime, Israel embraced the deal, with the nation’s biggest-selling day by day, Yedioth Ahronoth, calling it a “daring breakthrough”.

Some analysts stated Netanyahu risked angering his supporters by strolling again pledges to annex land within the West Financial institution – territory sought by Palestinians for a state – in order to do a take care of an Arab Gulf nation.

“He gained a couple of factors with the centre-left, which loves agreements with Arabs, however he misplaced many extra factors together with his base of right-wing voters,” wrote Ben Caspit in Maariv.

Netanyahu, dogged by an ongoing corruption trial and criticised for his dealing with of the coronavirus pandemic, has hailed the settlement as a private success in integrating Israel within the Center East.

On his Arabic-language Twitter account he credited Israel’s overseas intelligence service Mossad with serving to to clinch the deal.

Below spy chief Yossi Cohen, Netanyahu stated, the Mossad helped develop Israel’s relations with the Gulf and “ripen the peace settlement with the Emirates”. (Extra reporting by Ali Sawafta in Ramallah; Writing by Stephen Farrell and Rami Ayyub; Modifying by Mark Heinrich)

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